1.0Sightline Institutehttps://www.sightline.orgClark Williams-Derryhttps://www.sightline.org/profile/clark-williams-derry/rich600338<blockquote class="wp-embedded-content" data-secret="ErsEHq4k6s"><a href="https://www.sightline.org/2011/09/19/should-we-trust-toll-revenue-forecasts/">Should We Trust Toll Revenue Forecasts?</a></blockquote><iframe sandbox="allow-scripts" security="restricted" src="https://www.sightline.org/2011/09/19/should-we-trust-toll-revenue-forecasts/embed/#?secret=ErsEHq4k6s" width="600" height="338" title="“Should We Trust Toll Revenue Forecasts?” — Sightline Institute" data-secret="ErsEHq4k6s" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" scrolling="no" class="wp-embedded-content"></iframe><script type="text/javascript"> /* <![CDATA[ */ /*! This file is auto-generated */ !function(d,l){"use strict";l.querySelector&&d.addEventListener&&"undefined"!=typeof URL&&(d.wp=d.wp||{},d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage||(d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if((t||t.secret||t.message||t.value)&&!/[^a-zA-Z0-9]/.test(t.secret)){for(var s,r,n,a=l.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret="'+t.secret+'"]'),o=l.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret="'+t.secret+'"]'),c=new RegExp("^https?:$","i"),i=0;i<o.length;i++)o[i].style.display="none";for(i=0;i<a.length;i++)s=a[i],e.source===s.contentWindow&&(s.removeAttribute("style"),"height"===t.message?(1e3<(r=parseInt(t.value,10))?r=1e3:~~r<200&&(r=200),s.height=r):"link"===t.message&&(r=new URL(s.getAttribute("src")),n=new URL(t.value),c.test(n.protocol))&&n.host===r.host&&l.activeElement===s&&(d.top.location.href=t.value))}},d.addEventListener("message",d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),l.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded",function(){for(var e,t,s=l.querySelectorAll("iframe.wp-embedded-content"),r=0;r<s.length;r++)(t=(e=s[r]).getAttribute("data-secret"))||(t=Math.random().toString(36).substring(2,12),e.src+="#?secret="+t,e.setAttribute("data-secret",t)),e.contentWindow.postMessage({message:"ready",secret:t},"*")},!1)))}(window,document); /* ]]> */ </script> https://www.sightline.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/WSDOT-ws-traffic-forecast.gif903670Hey gang!  We've got a new report out today: a literature review on the accuracy of tolling revenue forecasts. In a nutshell, both national and international experience shows that official tolling forecasts tend to overestimate real-world toll road revenue---particularly where drivers can choose alternative, toll-free routes. If the research holds true for our part of the world, there could be lots of implications for highway finance.  Read on for more... It seems like everywhere I look, there's another story in the news about road tolls.  Which shouldn't be too surprising: every highway megaproject on the books in the states of Washington and Oregon---the Columbia River Crossing, Washington's SR-520 floating bridge, Seattle's deep bore tunnel---is counting on robust tolling revenue to help pay for the project costs. The first up will be SR-520: the state plans to begin tolling the span in December, as part of a bid to raise $1 billion in revenue (about a quarter of the project's costs) from the drivers who use the facility.